Learning from the future
Governing Nanotechnology
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.52712/issn.1850-0013-693Keywords:
risk, danger, anticipatory governance, foresight, futureAbstract
Current scientific and technological developments will undeniably lead to, at a minimum, two results: 1) an unprecedented increase in complexity and uncertainty which will have multiple effects on decision making processes; and 2) due to the increasing presence of new technologies today, the need to develop a new model to manage those uncertainties: the creation of this new model demands going beyond and complementing current risk management models. The main objective of this article is to propose a management model that we call anticipatory governance and that uses future studies (foresight) and intelligence analysis techniques as the tools most adapted to deal with those phenomena. In this way, we not only participate in the still open debate on the distinction between danger and risk, but we also describe what we consider to be the three models of risk management, focusing on our proposal to develop a model based on the anticipation and comprehension of a complex and uncertain future.
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